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<rss version="2.0"><channel><title>The Outcome Market</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/</link><description>The event contract as a product - a tradable share priced from 0 to 100 that pays a fixed amount if a named event resolves yes and nothing if it resolves no, what its price means as a probability, how its order book matches a buyer to a seller, how it settles against a named source, what the spread and the fee cost on the round trip, what can and cannot be lost, how it differs from a fixed-odds book and from a betting exchange, and where it sits between a gambling regulator and a derivatives regulator. Every figure on this site is derived from ten invented samples.</description><item><title>The event contract explained: a price from 0 to 100 that pays a fixed amount if an event resolves yes</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/</link><description>How an event contract works - a tradable share priced from 0 to 100 that pays a fixed amount if a named event resolves yes, what its price means as a probability, how it settles against a named source, and what the spread and the fee cost.</description></item><item><title>What an event contract is: the question, the source, the clock, the payout and the tie rule</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/the-contract</link><description>An event contract is one question turned into a tradable share - the five fields it must fix (the question, the settling source, the close time, the payout and the tie rule), and why a contract missing any of them cannot be priced at all.</description></item><item><title>Why the price of an event contract is also a probability, and what the spread costs</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/the-price</link><description>The event-contract price read as a probability - why 62c is a 62% chance, how the bid and the ask bracket it, what the 2-cent spread costs on the round trip, and why the mid is not the price anyone actually gets.</description></item><item><title>How an event contract order book works: resting orders, the maker, the taker and partial fills</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/the-order-book</link><description>How an event contract is bought and sold - resting orders on either side of the price, the maker who places and the taker who takes, how a fill is matched, and why 74 of 100 fills on the samples paid no fee at all.</description></item><item><title>How an event contract settles: the named source, the deadline, clarifications and void refunds</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/the-settlement</link><description>How an event contract settles - the named source that decides the answer, the resolution deadline, why a clarification is not a re-run, when a contract resolves early, and what a void does to the money already paid.</description></item><item><title>What an event contract costs: the spread, the maker and taker fees, and the real cost of a round trip</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/the-fees</link><description>The cost of trading an event contract - why there is no house margin but there is a spread and a fee, how 2c of spread and 2c of fee add to 4c on a 61c mid, and why the round trip is what a reader pays to change their mind.</description></item><item><title>What you can lose on an event contract: the loss is bound by the price paid, and the gain is fixed</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/the-risk</link><description>What is at risk on an event contract - why the most that can be lost is the price paid for the position, why there is no margin call and no multiplying stake, and how 100 contracts at 62c risk 62.00 to win 38.00.</description></item><item><title>Event contract against fixed-odds bet: a price set by traders, no margin, and a sale before the result</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/why-not-a-book</link><description>How an event contract differs from a fixed-odds bet and from a betting exchange - who sets the price, where the margin sits, whether a position can be sold before the result, and why the same event can be priced differently on each.</description></item><item><title>Who regulates an event contract: a derivatives regulator, a gambling regulator, or both</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/the-regulator</link><description>Why an event contract can fall under a financial or derivatives regulator rather than a gambling one - the classification test that decides it, why the same underlying event can be regulated twice, and why the answer changes by country.</description></item><item><title>The contract rules that decide: resolution wording, clarifications, cancellations and the fallback source</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/the-terms</link><description>The clauses inside an event contract that decide what happens when the answer is not clean - the resolution wording, the clarification rule, the cancellation rule, the fallback source and the order they apply in.</description></item><item><title>Selling an event contract before settlement: liquidity, partial fills and the contract with no bid</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/the-liquidity</link><description>What it takes to close an event-contract position before settlement - why a price on the screen is not a promise to buy, how 71 of 120 exits filled at the touch and 16 found no bid at all, and why a thin book is the real risk.</description></item><item><title>The same event priced on several venues: a 7-point range, and which price to believe</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/the-mirror</link><description>Why the same event can be priced differently on a book, an exchange and an event-contract market - the 7-point range on the samples, what each venue’s price includes, and why the cheapest is not automatically the best.</description></item><item><title>An event-contract book settled in money: 500 contracts at 62c, the payout, and what the cost leaves</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/the-arithmetic</link><description>The arithmetic of an event-contract book in money - 500 contracts bought at 62c for 310.00, 312 of them resolving yes for a 312.00 payout, and the taker fee that turns the 2.00 gross gain into a loss.</description></item><item><title>Every event-contract figure on this site, and the sample each derives from</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/the-numbers</link><description>Every figure on The Outcome Market in one place - the ten invented samples, the price and payout, the quote and the fee, the settlement split, the exit outcomes and the settled book, each with its arithmetic.</description></item><item><title>Six beliefs about event contracts, checked against the samples</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/myths</link><description>Six common beliefs about event contracts tested - that the price is a prediction, that a market cannot be wrong, that a position is easy to close, that a void is a loss, that there is no cost without a bookmaker, and that a 62% chance means it wins.</description></item><item><title>Event contract questions: price, payout, settlement, fees, exits and regulation</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/faq</link><description>Twelve common questions about event contracts answered from the desk samples - what the price means, what a contract pays, who settles it, what a void does, what trading costs, and who regulates it.</description></item><item><title>About this desk: one topic, invented samples, no rankings and no recommendations</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/about</link><description>About this desk - why one topic is covered in depth, how the ten invented samples are defined and reused, what the desk refuses to do (rank, recommend or forecast), how it is funded, and how its figures are checked.</description></item><item><title>Legal and risk warning: how this desk is funded and what it does not promise</title><link>https://outcomemarket.casinobonus.plus/legal</link><description>How this desk is funded - one disclosed sponsored partner link - and the risk warning that goes with explaining an event contract: the loss can be the whole price paid, and nothing here is advice or a forecast.</description></item></channel></rss>
